As bad as Week 8 went…
I come back Week 9 and COMPLETELY REDEEM MYSELF
I only freaked out and chased a bad bet with a possibly worse bet during the UCLA v Indiana game. Cignetti threw UCLA into the wood chipper. I did not see that coming but I’m happy to have him back.
Bama let me down. If I’m gonna bet on Bama to have a good day, they better. I can’t stand losing money on Bama and they win a game they shouldn’t have. It’s as though I lost twice.
Straight into the picks. Lot of action this week. Won’t bet very big. Lots of $100-$500 bets. There’s an Over trend happening.
Vandy v Texas -2.5 [O/U 46.5] 11am
PAVIA. I’m riding with Pavia all day long. Vandy is playing better football than Texas. Pavia’s stats are nearly identical to Arch’s. Manning’s stats would be horrible with Vandy’s talent. Pi Kappa Alpha’s intramural QB could throw for 100 with Texas talent level. I’m taking Vandy +2.5
Miami -10.5 v SMU [O/U 50.5] 11am
I’m unsure, the algo says Miami covers. I like the over. Moneyline on SMU is +310. Not quite enough room for a hedge. Will watch the first few minutes and see what happens. As of this moment, I’m with the algo.
Georgia -7.5 v Florida [O/U 50.5] 2:30pm
We’ve seen this setup already. Coach gets axed, team bounces back and keeps one close. Not against Kirby. All Georgia to cover here.
Texas Tech -7.5 v Kansas State [O/U 51.5] 2:30pm
Are we picking up the O/U trend this week??? I’m on the over here. I think Texas Tech probably runs away with this one too. I haven’t seen much tape on KState, which is why I hesitate to do more than take an over. If you know K State holla at me. I feel like Texas Tech should be a double digit favorite.
Notre Dame -29.5 v Boston College [O/U 56.5] 2:30pm
Notre Dame has been playing really well this year. Winning the way they should. They played good ball in the first two losses to top tier teams. BC has been blown out nearly every week. With the cover set at half of the Over mark it’s a funky set up and I don’t see BC doing half the work. What’s most likely to happen? Take the under but pay attention to the betting volume/line changes. I will be watching the first few drives to check the pace. Props are our friend here. Keep this game on the radar. If ND scores first drive convincingly I’m hitting the cover button.
Indiana -21.5 v Maryland [O/U 50.5] 2:30pm
Indiana is gonna run through another one. Just bet Cig. I’m on the cover and over.
Miss St. v Arkansas -4.5 [O/U 65.5] 3:00pm
I’m on Miss St -6.5 at +300 here. I don’t think the character of that team will allow them to lose this one. If Texas doesn’t get that punt return what are we looking at here? I’m gonna take a small bet with great odds and see what happens.
S Carolina v Ole Miss -12.5 [O/U 55.5] 6:00pm
South Carolina moneyline is +360…-2.5 we can get SCar +400. I’m gonna play with some numbers here and take an acceptable loss on the game. Same way I have played several games this season. With 4:1 odds I can risk on both teams and still be very likely to turn a profit.
Georgia Tech -5.5 v NC State [O/U 58.5] 6:30pm
Over is too high for me here. I love GT to cover.
Kentucky v Auburn -11.5 [O/U 44.5] 6:30pm
Not gonna lie…I like the over. If you like the over here you love the cover. I don’t see Kentucky getting much going with their offense up against our defense either. This is a phenomenal spot for Ashton Daniels to get it going. Could be a trap??? Algo seems to be leaning heavily on the UK v SCar game here. I like Auburn to cover.
WE HAVE MULTIPLE OPPORTUNITIES TO BET AUBURN BASKETBALL NEXT WEEK
